نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار دفتر گسترش آموزش عالی، معاونت آموزشی، وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری، تهران، ایران
2 پژوهشگر، دانشکده و پژوهشکده اقتصاد مقاومتی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
Domestic production of livestock inputs is done in villages. But the heavy costs of animal feed production and the droughts of recent years have made domestic production of these products difficult. Since the production of livestock inputs, especially corn, is very water-intensive, the cultivation of these products inside the country is currently not cost-effective, and its import is cost-effective to meet domestic needs. This has caused an increase in the demand for livestock inputs in recent years. Therefore, it is very important to investigate the factors affecting the import of these inputs and its impact on the villages. In this way, it is possible to choose a suitable strategy for importing livestock inputs. Therefore, in this research, the factors affecting the import of livestock inputs and its impact on the country's villages are analyzed. For this purpose, the import of livestock corn and soybean meal from the 4 target countries from which the most imports were made has been investigated. The necessary statistics and information have been collected through the statistics of the Ministry of Agricultural Jihad, Iran Customs, Iran Statistics Center, Central Bank of Iran and other library sources. According to the econometric issues between economic variables, panel data method has been used in the period of 2001-2023 to estimate the model. According to the results obtained, the increase in tariff (-%0.051), relative price (-%0.076), domestic production of Soybean meal (-%1.95), real exchange rate (-%3.685), real exchange rate fluctuations (-%1.824) and sanctions (-%1.351) have caused a decrease in import demand, and oil income (%0.093471), Income of villagers (0.524) and gross domestic product (2.933) have had a positive and significant effect on imports. It is suggested that the government should adopt the policy of supporting the producers of these products and through increasing the guaranteed purchase price, implementing key plans such as using as much as possible modified and high-yielding seeds, optimal use of water resources to increase the area under cultivation of water products and increase Efficiency in the consumption of other inputs will encourage the villagers to increase the domestic production of these products.
کلیدواژهها English
